Markets

August Retirement Portfolio Resilience Assessment

Markets Are Higher. The Price of Risk Is Lower.   Retirement invest...

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Brent Breaks $90 — Now US 10-Year At 4.75% Holds The Bigger Market Test

Why oil’s break above $90 is spilling into global bond yields, and why that’s flipping the usual risk-off currency... Read more

Oil Shock Is Working Twice For CAD/JPY — Can It Reach 120?

Brent's break above $90 is doing double duty for CAD/JPY — strengthening Canada's terms of trade while pushing globa... Read more

US 30-Year Yield Hits 19-Year High — Oil Is Only Part Of The Story

The US 30-year Treasury yield has climbed above 5.31%, its highest in 19 years, alongside oil's push through $90 — b... Read more

Dollar Selloff Builds, But Fed Minutes And Brent $90 Hold The Next Tests

Dollar extended its selloff into the new week without any fresh negative catalyst, instead continuing to digest the cu... Read more

Gold Stalls At 4,450 — What Will Break The Deadlock?

Gold's rally paused exactly at major trendline resistance near 4,450, but shallow follow-through selling suggests cons... Read more

AUD/USD Gets Its Breakout. Can Australias Jobs Data Keep It Going?

AUD/USD has broken out on external tailwinds — a weaker Dollar and rebounding risk appetite — but Thursday's jobs ... Read more

Dollar Index Faces Imminent Breakdown Risk As Fed Hike Path Shrinks

Dollar Index is approaching a critical support level as September Fed hike odds collapse from likely to roughly a two... Read more

The Loonies Rally Just Sped Up. Is That The Data, Or Something More?

The Canadian dollar's rally has accelerated sharply this week without help from oil, built instead on blowout GDP and ... Read more

Yen Intervention Bought Two Weeks. Can A BoJ Rate Hike Make The Rescue Last?

USD/JPY's rebound from last month's intervention is stalling just below 160, as reports of an informal US-Japan unders... Read more

Sluggish Dollar As Fed Gets More Reason To Wait, Brent Runs Out Of Reasons To Rally

Dollar slipped again after July PPI undershot expectations, reinforcing fading Fed hike bets, annual producer inflatio... Read more

RBNZ Survey Was Hawkish. So Why Did NZD Fall?

The RBNZ's latest Survey of Expectations pointed to a September hike and firmer growth, yet NZD fell across the board ... Read more

Dollar Is Giving EUR/USD Every Chance To Rally. So Whats Holding Euro Back?

EUR/USD has nearly everything bulls could ask for — a weaker Dollar, fading Fed hike bets, and rising ECB hike odds ... Read more

Dollar Falls As July CPI Closes First Oil-Shock Chapter — August Opens The Next

Dollar weakened broadly after July CPI matched expectations, with headline inflation slowing from 3.5% to 3.4% y/y and... Read more

Bitcoin Grinds Toward $60K As The CLARITY Act Catalyst Shifts To September 15

Bitcoin is drifting toward the psychologically important $60,000 level in a bearish holding pattern, with September 15... Read more