Markets

August Retirement Portfolio Resilience Assessment

Markets Are Higher. The Price of Risk Is Lower.Retirement investing presents a different portfolio...

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RBNZ Survey Was Hawkish. So Why Did NZD Fall?

The RBNZ's latest Survey of Expectations pointed to a September hike and firmer growth, yet NZD fell across the board ... Read more

Dollar Is Giving EUR/USD Every Chance To Rally. So Whats Holding Euro Back?

EUR/USD has nearly everything bulls could ask for — a weaker Dollar, fading Fed hike bets, and rising ECB hike odds ... Read more

Dollar Falls As July CPI Closes First Oil-Shock Chapter — August Opens The Next

Dollar weakened broadly after July CPI matched expectations, with headline inflation slowing from 3.5% to 3.4% y/y and... Read more

Bitcoin Grinds Toward $60K As The CLARITY Act Catalyst Shifts To September 15

Bitcoin is drifting toward the psychologically important $60,000 level in a bearish holding pattern, with September 15... Read more

Gold Is Betting $90 Oil Wont Force The Fed Back To Tightening. CPI Is The First Check.

Gold has kept climbing even as Brent rebounded from $70 toward $90, a divergence that reflects markets betting the Fed... Read more

Three FX Winners, Two Trades: RBA Lifts Aussie While Oil Backs Dollar And Loonie

Three currencies sit at the top of Tuesday's FX board, but they aren't telling one story. Australian Dollar strengthen... Read more

Sterlings Real Test Is June GDP — EUR/GBP Downside And GBP/CHF Upside In Focus

A hawkish BoE tailwind has lifted Sterling this week, but Thursday's June monthly GDP — not the flattering Q2 headli... Read more

Brent Breakout Raises $100 Risk As Hormuz Talks Hit The Same Old Wall

Could Brent oil actually retest $100? A confirmed technical breakout and a Hormuz negotiation stuck on the same unreso... Read more

Yen Slides Again As Intervention Effect Fades, Critical 48 Hours Ahead

Yen is under broad-based pressure again, barely 10 days after joint US-Japan intervention forced traders to retreat. I... Read more

Why Silver May Be The Better US CPI Trade Than Gold

A weak jobs report already made the case for a Fed hold, but only Wednesday's CPI can confirm inflation is cooling too... Read more

AUD/CAD Risks Deeper Correction If RBA Tightening Bias Doesnt Survive

The RBA's Tuesday hold is a formality — what matters for AUD/CAD is whether its tightening bias survives, and the se... Read more

Weak NFP Flips Fed Bets, But Oil Keeps Markets Trapped In Tug-of-War

July's shockingly weak NFP report flipped September Fed odds toward a hold, but with Brent still above $80 and the Str... Read more

NFP Shock Sends Dollar Lower And Gold Above 4,300, But Geopolitical Risks Rise

Why weak payrolls broke the week’s stalemate, and why Hormuz, Saudi warnings and US-China tensions mean the move isn... Read more

USD/JPY Faces NFP With Intervention Risk Creating An Asymmetric Trade

USD/JPY has recovered a third of last week's intervention-driven losses, but Friday's payrolls report sets up an asymm... Read more