Markets Calm As Oil Price Holds Below Crisis Levels, Dollar Gains But Lacks Conviction
Markets stayed composed in early trading, with oil holding below crisis levels despite renewed tensions around the Str... Read more
Dollar At Risk Of Sharp Selloff If Markets Front-Run Islamabad Accord On Progress In US-Iran Talks
Attention is firmly on Islamabad as the United States and Iran begin their first high-level talks since the onset of w... Read more
Dollar Slips As CPI Fails To Rattle Feds Transitory View, Islamabad Talks Awaited
Dollar is back under mild pressure as US trading gets underway, with markets reacting to a softer-than-feared inflatio... Read more
US CPI Surge Expected, But Pass-Through Speed And Inflation Expectations Key For Fed
A sharp rise in US CPI is all but certain, with March inflation expected to accelerate from 2.4% yoy to 3.4% yoy on th... Read more
Brent Oil Stalls At $100 Ahead Of Islamabad Talks, $80 Or $110+ Next?
Global markets have shifted from ceasefire euphoria to cautious consolidation, with Brent oil recovering from initial ... Read more
US 10-Year Yield “V” Shaped Rebound Signals Rejection Of Iran Ceasefire Optimism
The market reaction to the two-week US-Iran ceasefire is already turning, with signs of rejection of ceasefire optimis... Read more
Ceasefire Resets Fed Outlook, Markets Set To Look Through FOMC Minutes And Hot CPI
The ceasefire between the US and Iran has reset the Fed outlook, shifting market focus away from near-term inflation d... Read more
Dollar Slides As Ceasefire Unwinds War Premium—Is EUR/USD Heading Back To 1.20?
Dollar’s sharp slide as oil price drops below $100 on the US-Iran ceasefire is raising a critical question for FX ma... Read more
Hormuz Deadline Looms As IMF Warns Oil Shock Drives All Roads To Stagflation
The global financial markets are treading water as the Hormuz reopening deadline looms, with U.S. Donald Trump warning... Read more
Oil Nears $120 Point Of No Return As Trump Deadline Looms And Hormuz “Toll Booth” Battle Decides Outcome
Oil is nearing a $120 breaking point as US President Donald Trump’s Iran deadline looms, with markets increasingly f... Read more
Markets Bet On Short War As Trumps “Power Plant Day” Looms, Oil 120+ Or 90 To Decide Outcome
Markets open the week in a surprisingly calm tone, but the stability masks a high-stakes setup ahead of US President D... Read more
Brent-WTI Spread Collapse Signals Shift From War Premium To Supply Breakdown
Risk aversion has returned to global markets following US President Donald Trump’s escalation signals on the Iran wa... Read more
After Trumps Iran War Address, Markets Price Pain—But Not Catastrophe Yet
Markets have flipped back into risk-off mode as oil rebounds above $110 following US President Donald Trump’s escala... Read more
Dollar Selloff Accelerates On Iran Endgame Hopes; Will Trumps Address Break The Risk-On Rally?
Global markets are extending a powerful risk-on rally as expectations build that the Iran war may be nearing its end. ... Read more
Gyrostat April Outlook: The Changing Cost Of Protection
Signals For Portfolio Construction This monthly Gyrostat Risk-Managed Market Outlook does not attemp... Read more