US 10-Year Yield Is Closing In On 4.81%. Could 5% Be Next?
The US 10-year Treasury yield has climbed above 4.75% for two genuinely different reasons — Warsh's Jackson Hole spe... Read more
Oil Price Surges Above $90 As US-Iran Conflict Returns, But Markets Resist Full Risk-Off Move
What’s happening: Brent surged back above $90 Monday after US forces struck two IRGC rocket launchers on Larak Islan... Read more
RBNZ Hike Is Priced In. Can The OCR Track Push NZD/USD Through 0.60?
The RBNZ's Wednesday 25bp hike to 2.75% is already priced in, so NZD/USD's real reaction will hinge on the accompanyin... Read more
Gold Correction, Not Reversal? Why $4,300 Is The Line That Matters
Gold's fall from 4,697.07 to around 4,423 looks more like a correction than a reversal — Warsh repriced rate timing ... Read more
Dollar Gets Two Warsh Boosts: Earlier Fed Hike Risk And Fading Debasement Fears
Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech as Fed Chair pushed September hike odds to 57% and reinforced institutional di... Read more
Silver Leads Precious Metals Higher Ahead Of Warsh As Gold
In the hours before Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote, Gold is sitting essentially flat while Silver (+2.01%, abo... Read more
CAD Survived The Tariff Shock. Can GDP And Warsh Push USD/CAD Back Below 1.3730?
USD/CAD has stabilized after absorbing the initial tariff shock, but Friday brings two catalysts operating on complete... Read more
Dollar Bounce Lacks Conviction As Aussie Extends Rally Ahead Of Warsh
Why Dollar’s steadying looks like positioning ahead of Friday’s Warsh speech, while Aussie’s rally is being driv... Read more
Bessent Put Vs. Fed Independence: Two Forces Fighting Over Treasury Yields
The "Bessent put" and Fed independence are two distinct market beliefs that can push the same Treasury yield in opposi... Read more
Three Big Banks Flip To RBA Hikes—AUD/JPY Is Knocking On 115
Three of Australia's Big Four banks now expect another RBA hike this year, after minutes, CPI, and household spending ... Read more
Dollar Barely Moves On PCE As Aussie Rallies And Brent Unwinds War Premium
Three separate reactions to three separate catalysts: PCE confirms Fed pricing, Australian CPI reopens the RBA hike de... Read more
Two Checkpoints In 48 Hours Could Decide Gold And Silvers Next Move
Gold and Silver are pausing after a sharp rally, with Wednesday's US data testing the yield channel and Friday's Warsh... Read more
Hot Australian CPI, Canada Tariff Retaliation — Is AUD/CAD Ready To Break Parity?
A hotter Australian inflation print that keeps a September RBA hike live, combined with Canada's newly specified tarif... Read more
Brent Oil Falls To $88 As Sanctions Doubts Meet Fresh De-Escalation Signals
Brent fell to around $88, its lowest since Aug. 13, after gaining more than 5% last week. The decline followed two sep... Read more
Bitcoin Breaks $80K—Can Two Catalysts Carry It Back To $100K?
Bitcoin pushed above $80,000 on the same fiscal-credibility trade lifting Gold, plus renewed optimism over US crypto r... Read more