Weight Watchers Still Banks On Oprah Amid Competition From Other Diet Plans And Its Own Subscription Programs

Oprah will be going on tour for WW in 2020

WW International Inc., more commonly known as Weight Watchers, is banking on another well-known name to drive growth – Oprah Winfrey.

WW WW, +2.17%   announced Monday that it has extended its partnership with Oprah through 2025. Oprah has been a board member, shareholder and advisor since 2015. She has also served as a face of the brand.

Oprah is scheduled to join WW on a nine-city tour next year, starting in January. A list of the cities on the tour, titled “Oprah’s 2020 Vision: Your Life in Focus,” and the celebrities that will join her is provided below.

UBS analysts think Oprah’s presence on the tour, along with other famous guests and a supporting marketing campaign, will benefit WW’s subscription plans. Moreover, analysts expect ramped up promotion of the company’s new plan.

Read: Weight Watchers is launching a new program on Nov. 11, but shares sink 15% after revenue miss

UBS is modeling for 8.3% subscriber growth in 2020. Analysts say there was a spike in “Weight Watchers” searches after the launch of its latest program, but that trend has turned flat since.

“Still, we think the new program launch in combination with more intense marketing efforts around New Year’s will lead to increased interest,” analysts wrote.

UBS rates WW stock neutral with a $38 price target, which is below current levels.

WW stock, which rose 1.2% in Tuesday trading, has fallen 8.9% over the past year as the S&P 500 index SPX, -0.04%   has gained 25.3%.

As part of the extended partnership, WW will grant Winfrey, subject to shareholder approval,a fully vested option to buy about 3.3 million WW shares at an exercisable price of $38.84 a share. The option represents up to 4.3% of the shares outstanding, and would cost Winfrey $127.3 million if fully exercised.

If approved at next year’s annual shareholder meeting, the company expects to take a charge of $62 million.

Winfrey is currently WW’s second largest shareholder with a stake of 5.4 million shares, or 8.1% of the shares outstanding, according to data provided by FactSet. That stake was part of the original collaboration agreement announced in October 2015, in which Winfrey spent $43.2 million to buy about 6.4 million shares at $6.79. The stock price has increased by nearly 6-fold since then.

WW also disclosed Monday that Winfrey has established a stock trading plan to sell 2.9 million shares she acquired as part of the 2015 collaboration agreement, for purposes of “asset diversification, charitable giving and liquidity.” Based on current prices, the value of the 2.9 million shares Winfrey plans to sell have increased by about $94.4 million since they were acquired.

But it hasn’t all been rosy for Winfrey since she took a stake in WW.

The shares took a tumble in November after the company reported a third-quarter revenue miss. Nicholas Hotchkin, the company’s chief financial officer, said growing studio membership was key.

The company has seen less expensive digital subscriptions grow, but the studio subscription, which provides access to the perks of a WW location, have stalled.

See: IHOP’s fast-casual Flip’d breakfast chain should satisfy investors, analysts say

“Intense focus on the business has led to consistently improving trends since the start of the year, and we expect year-over-year studio recruitment to turn positive in Q4,” he said on the earnings call, according to the FactSet transcript. “Despite these actions, the studio business continues to be a drag on our revenue metrics given the price of a studio subscription is twice that of a digital subscription.”

WW is also facing competition from dietary plans like keto and paleo, which have become part of many people’s health-and-wellness plans rather than just a way to lose weight. Large food companies like Conagra Brands Inc. CAG, -0.48%   and General Mills Inc. GIS, +1.94%   have launched a variety of products found at the local supermarket to satisfy these tastes.

And Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. CMG, -0.62%   has launched a line of Lifestyle Bowls, made with these sorts of diet regimens in mind.

Don’t miss: Beyond Meat might not be the only plant-based burger McDonald’s uses if it launches in the U.S.

But with word that Oprah was working her magic, KeyBanc Capital Markets analysts also posted a bullish note after third-quarter earnings.

“The Oprah Winfrey 2020 Vision, Your Life in Focus, is more than 80% sold out nationwide,” analysts wrote at the time. “This demand was above management’s expectations and we think the company should benefit from press coverage heading into Q4 and 2020.”

KeyBanc rates WW shares sector weight.

“Oprah’s 2020 Vision: Your Life in Focus” tour dates and celebrities:

Date (2020) City Venue Celebrity joining Oprah
Jan. 4 Ft. Lauderdale, FL BB&T Center Lady Gaga
Jan. 11 St. Paul, MN XCel Energy Center Tina Fey
Jan. 18 Charlotte, NC Spectrum Center Amy Schumer
Jan. 25 Atlanta, GA State Farm Arena Dwayne Johnson
Feb. 8 Brooklyn, NY Barclays Center Michelle Obama
Feb. 15 Dallas, TX American Airlines Center Tracee Ellis Ross
Feb. 22 San Francisco, CA Chase Center Kate Hudson
Feb. 29 Los Angeles, CA The Forum Jennifer Lopez
March 7 Denver, CO Pepsi Center Gayle King
WW International Inc., “WeightWatchers reimagined”

RECENT NEWS

UK High Street Banks Rake In £9.2 Billion In Interest On BoE Reserves: A Closer Look

In the intricate world of finance, where numbers often tell compelling stories, one recent figure stands out: £9.2 bill... Read more

Powell's Pledge: Federal Reserve Chair Signals Prolonged Period Of Higher Rates

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent statements have stirred significant interest in financial markets, particul... Read more

European Funds Body Throws Support Behind French Capital Markets Union: Implications For Brexit-Era Finance

In a significant development for European finance, a European funds body recently threw its support behind the French ca... Read more

Federal Reserve's Rate Decision: Navigating Economic Uncertainty

The recent decision by the Federal Reserve to adjust interest rates has sparked significant interest and speculation amo... Read more

Building Bridges: Strengthening Investor Confidence Through Enhanced Risk Data In Emerging Markets

In the dynamic landscape of emerging markets, investor confidence plays a pivotal role in driving economic growth and pr... Read more

Reading The Tea Leaves: Analyzing Market Responses To Speculation Of A Fed Interest Rate Increase

As speculation mounts regarding a potential interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve, investors are closely monit... Read more