Markets

August Retirement Portfolio Resilience Assessment

Markets Are Higher. The Price of Risk Is Lower.   Retirement invest...

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Dollar Index Faces Imminent Breakdown Risk As Fed Hike Path Shrinks

Dollar Index is approaching a critical support level as September Fed hike odds collapse from likely to roughly a two... Read more

The Loonies Rally Just Sped Up. Is That The Data, Or Something More?

The Canadian dollar's rally has accelerated sharply this week without help from oil, built instead on blowout GDP and ... Read more

Yen Intervention Bought Two Weeks. Can A BoJ Rate Hike Make The Rescue Last?

USD/JPY's rebound from last month's intervention is stalling just below 160, as reports of an informal US-Japan unders... Read more

Sluggish Dollar As Fed Gets More Reason To Wait, Brent Runs Out Of Reasons To Rally

Dollar slipped again after July PPI undershot expectations, reinforcing fading Fed hike bets, annual producer inflatio... Read more

RBNZ Survey Was Hawkish. So Why Did NZD Fall?

The RBNZ's latest Survey of Expectations pointed to a September hike and firmer growth, yet NZD fell across the board ... Read more

Dollar Is Giving EUR/USD Every Chance To Rally. So Whats Holding Euro Back?

EUR/USD has nearly everything bulls could ask for — a weaker Dollar, fading Fed hike bets, and rising ECB hike odds ... Read more

Dollar Falls As July CPI Closes First Oil-Shock Chapter — August Opens The Next

Dollar weakened broadly after July CPI matched expectations, with headline inflation slowing from 3.5% to 3.4% y/y and... Read more

Bitcoin Grinds Toward $60K As The CLARITY Act Catalyst Shifts To September 15

Bitcoin is drifting toward the psychologically important $60,000 level in a bearish holding pattern, with September 15... Read more

Gold Is Betting $90 Oil Wont Force The Fed Back To Tightening. CPI Is The First Check.

Gold has kept climbing even as Brent rebounded from $70 toward $90, a divergence that reflects markets betting the Fed... Read more

Three FX Winners, Two Trades: RBA Lifts Aussie While Oil Backs Dollar And Loonie

Three currencies sit at the top of Tuesday's FX board, but they aren't telling one story. Australian Dollar strengthen... Read more

Sterlings Real Test Is June GDP — EUR/GBP Downside And GBP/CHF Upside In Focus

A hawkish BoE tailwind has lifted Sterling this week, but Thursday's June monthly GDP — not the flattering Q2 headli... Read more

Brent Breakout Raises $100 Risk As Hormuz Talks Hit The Same Old Wall

Could Brent oil actually retest $100? A confirmed technical breakout and a Hormuz negotiation stuck on the same unreso... Read more

Yen Slides Again As Intervention Effect Fades, Critical 48 Hours Ahead

Yen is under broad-based pressure again, barely 10 days after joint US-Japan intervention forced traders to retreat. I... Read more

Why Silver May Be The Better US CPI Trade Than Gold

A weak jobs report already made the case for a Fed hold, but only Wednesday's CPI can confirm inflation is cooling too... Read more