Economic Report: U.S. Service Sector Slows In July To Weakest Rate In Almost Three Years

Author photo

By

Senior economics reporter

The ISM said the service economy still could not find qualified candidates for skilled labor.

The number: The Institute for Supply Management’s nonmanufacturing, or services, index slowed to a reading of 53.7% in July from 55.1% in June, the slowest reading since August 2016. The index stood at 59.7% in February.

Consensus estimates of economists polled by MarketWatch were for a reading of 55.5% in July.

A related gauge from IHS Markit, its U.S. services PMI, rose to 53 in July, the fastest pace in three months.

What happened: Components for new orders, production, prices and backlogs were among those that declined in July. The employment gauge increased. Imports rose sharply while exports declined.

Big picture: The rate of growth in the services sector continues to cool off. Respondents indicated concerns related to tariffs. Comments were generally mixed about business conditions. One oil and gas industry contact said companies in the sector were cautious given the volatility in oil prices. The separate ISM factory index fell to 51.2 in July, the slowest since September 2016.

What are they saying? “Non-manufacturing remains stronger than manufacturing, consistent with non-manufacturing being less exposed to weakening in foreign demand, but it is showing slowing nonetheless,” said Jim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.

Market reaction: Stocks dropped like a stone at the open as intensified U.S. -China trade tensions spooked investors. The drop in the ISM seemed to add to the market’s woes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -2.71%   was recently down 590 points in late-morning trading.

RECENT NEWS

Gyrostat Capital Management: The Hidden Architecture Of Consequences

When Structures Themselves Become A Risk In portfolio construction, risk is rarely where we look for it.... Read more

Gyrostat November Outlook: The Rising Cost Of Doing Nothing

Through the second half of 2025, markets have delivered a curious mix of surface tranquillity and instabi... Read more

Gyrostat Capital Management: Blending Managers - From Style Diversification To Scenario Diversification

The Limits of Traditional Diversification For decades, portfolio construction has ... Read more

Gyrostat October Outlook: Beneath The Calm, The Cost Of Protection Rises

 Even as global equity indices remain near record highs, the pricing of risk is shifting quietly ben... Read more

Gyrostat Capital Management: Solving The Nastiest Problem In Finance

Retirement Income and Sequencing Risk Executive Summary ... Read more