Deep Dive: Top Stock Picks For 2020: Standout Small Companies

(This is the third in a three-part series listing highly rated stocks that sell-side analysts expect to rise the most over the next 12 months. Part 1 covers large-cap stocks, and part 2 covers mid-cap stocks.)

Small-cap stocks are always an exciting part of the market.

For newer companies, management teams are motivated to grow their businesses rapidly, which means greater opportunity — and more volatility. As the U.S. economy continues to chug along, with transformations in energy and so many tech-related industries, exposure to this sector is critical for a diversified long-term growth portfolio.

So how have the small-caps performed? As we saw in part 2 of this series, “winners” among the large-cap S&P 500 SPX, +0.29%, the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index MID, +0.16%  and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index SML, -0.01%  vary over time. Here’s a comparison of total returns (with dividends reinvested) for the indexes over various periods through Dec. 9:

Index 2019 3 years 5 years 10 years 15 years 20 years
S&P 500 28% 47% 69% 252% 260% 228%
S&P Mid Cap 400 23% 25% 51% 237% 293% 536%
S&P Small Cap 600 20% 22% 56% 261% 279% 577%
Source: FactSet

In recent years, the S&P 500 — heavily weighted to the largest U.S. tech companies — has been the leader. But small-caps are in the lead for 10- and 20-year returns.

There are many ways to play small-caps as a group, including low-cost index funds, such as the iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF IJR, +0.01%.

Wall Street’s favorites among the S&P 600

Here are the 20 S&P Small Cap 600 stocks covered by at least five sell-side analysts with 75% or more “buy” or equivalent ratings that have the highest 12-month upside potential implied by consensus price targets:

Company Ticker Share 'buy' ratings Share neutral ratings Share 'sell' ratings Closing price - Dec. 9 Consensus price target Implied 12-month upside potential Total return - 2019 through Dec. 9
Tetra Technologies Inc. TTI, +3.25% 78% 22% 0% $1.26 $3.19 153% -25%
Cytokinetics Inc. CYTK, +0.21% 83% 17% 0% $9.63 $22.00 128% 52%
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals Inc. SPPI, -3.38% 100% 0% 0% $10.29 $23.20 125% 18%
Ring Energy Inc. REI, +2.70% 75% 25% 0% $2.05 $4.16 103% -60%
PDC Energy Inc. PDCE, -1.36% 82% 18% 0% $23.28 $43.44 87% -22%
Tabula Rasa Healthcare Inc. TRHC, -2.59% 78% 22% 0% $40.38 $74.14 84% -37%
Callon Petroleum Co. CPE, -0.70% 87% 13% 0% $4.26 $7.70 81% -34%
Regenxbio Inc. RGNX, -3.09% 83% 17% 0% $42.71 $75.67 77% 2%
Chart Industries Inc. GTLS, +2.38% 92% 8% 0% $55.99 $91.75 64% -14%
Renewable Energy Group Inc. REGI, -2.13% 100% 0% 0% $18.18 $28.80 58% -29%
Consol Energy Inc. CEIX, +0.07% 80% 20% 0% $13.34 $21.00 57% -58%
Archrock Inc. AROC, -1.63% 83% 17% 0% $8.93 $13.92 56% 26%
Enova International Inc. ENVA, -1.21% 100% 0% 0% $23.30 $36.20 55% 20%
Children's Place Inc. PLCE, -23.14% 75% 25% 0% $69.90 $107.63 54% -21%
Tivity Health Inc. TVTY, +2.43% 100% 0% 0% $20.23 $31.14 54% -18%
OneSpan Inc. OSPN, -2.98% 80% 20% 0% $17.14 $24.40 42% 32%
CryoLife Inc. CRY, +5.26% 100% 0% 0% $24.21 $34.33 42% -15%
Green Plains Inc. GPRE, -0.50% 80% 20% 0% $14.22 $20.00 41% 10%
Newpark Resources Inc. NR, +0.09% 83% 17% 0% $5.80 $7.80 34% -16%
Talos Energy Inc. TALO, +5.15% 100% 0% 0% $25.42 $34.17 34% 56%
Source: FactSet

You can click on the tickers for more about each company.

Of 20 stocks on the list, 12 have suffered double-digit declines this year. It is not unusual to see this sort of action among a group of highly rated stocks with high price targets. It follows the trend for large-cap and mid-cap stocks. Mark Hulbert explained that the worst stocks in a given year tend to rebound the following year.

Don’t miss: These are the 20 best-performing stocks of the past decade, and some of them will surprise you

Create an email alert for Philip van Doorn’s Deep Dive columns here.

RECENT NEWS

Protection As A Portfolio Constant

Why Downside Protection Matters More in RetirementThe day an investor stops adding fresh savings and starts drawing an i... Read more

Gyrostat Risk Managed Market Outlook: Uncertainty And Anticipated Volatility

There remains considerable uncertainty about the market outlook, with a wide range of possible outcomes. ... Read more

Excent Capital: Supporting The Growth Of LATAM Advisors

The wealth management industry in Latin America is expanding rapidly due to stronger economies and a growing number of... Read more

Gyrostat Market Overview

Whilst we make no attempt to “predict” markets, history teaches that extended periods of low volatility often prec... Read more

Accumulation To Retirement Phase: Constructing Portfolios For Lower Risk Investors

Traditional portfolio construction in the accumulation phase is fundamentally misaligned with the critical needs of lowe... Read more