AMCs New Subscription Service Is A Formidable Competitor For MoviePass, Analysts Say

Analysts are upbeat on AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. after the company’s Wednesday announcement that it would be launching a movie subscription service, its response to MoviePass.

Benchmark raised its rating for AMC AMC, +2.71%   to buy from hold, and set an initial price target of $20. The new subscription service “somewhat offsets our concerns over secular pressure on attendance trends,” wrote Benchmark analyst Mike Hickey, adding that he thinks the new subscription service will drive up theater attendance and earnings.

On Tuesday, AMC will begin offering guests the option of seeing three movies per week for a monthly fee of $19.95. The subscription service, dubbed AMC Stubs A-List, will be offered through its loyalty program AMC Stubs. A-List will be a formidable opponent to MoviePass, whose majority owner is Helios & Matheson Analytics Inc. HMNY, +5.90%   MoviePass allows customers to see one movie a day for a monthly fee of $9.99, but can only be used for 2D films. Customers of AMC’s A-List will have the option to watch movies in premium formats like IMAX, Dolby Cinema and RealD.

Read: How AMC’s new subscription service compares to MoviePass and its competitors

Adding to Benchmark’s positive outlook for AMC: A potential IPO of the company’s European assets in 2019, an injection of $440 million in cash from selling non-strategic assets and valuation support from its quarterly dividend yield of 4.8%.

See now: MoviePass makes several big changes — is it still worth $9.95 per month?

In case you missed it: How MoviePass plans to make money from its more than 1 million subscribers

Related: A student loan company offers new borrowers a free year of MoviePass

MKM Partners has set its 12-month price target at $25, and is maintaining its buy rating. MKM analyst Eric Handler called the AMC offering “an attractive service which further increases moviegoer value options.”

Although “rollout and marketing will carry up-front costs,” the subscription service has “solid return potential,” he wrote. AMC has said that every one million subscribers may drive earnings of $15 million to $25 million, Handler wrote. He predicts the initial subscriber base will likely come from Stubs members, which now total around 15 million households—a significant potential haul.

William Blair maintained its market outperform rating, saying that while the subscription is “priced at a premium to competitive subscription models, A-List includes the industry’s broadest range of benefits.”

Helios & Matheson Analytics shares are down 94.8% so far this year, while AMC shares are up 14.5%. The S&P 500 SPX, -0.63%   has gained 3.3%.

RECENT NEWS

What A Rising VIX Means For Pension Funds

Wall Street’s latest selloff has moved beyond a technology-sector wobble and become a broad market event. The Nasdaq C... Read more

Behaviour Cannot Fix A Portfolio Construction Flaw

A Retiree Shouldn't Be Asked to Behave Their Way Out of a Portfolio Construction Problem Why behavioural coaching shoul... Read more

Behavioural & Retirement Portfolio Resilience

Behavioural Survivability and Retirement Portfolio Resilience Why the lived experience of market recovery matters as mu... Read more

Australia's Rate Rise Bites: Highest In 15 Years

The Reserve Bank of Australia has lifted interest rates to their highest level since 2011, and its governor admits the w... Read more

October Retirement Portfolio Resilience Assessment

Markets stabl Read more

Gyrostat September Retirement Portfolio Resilience Assessment

September Retirement Portfolio Resilience Assessment Markets have fallen. The price of risk has risen. ... Read more