Economic Report: U.S. Trade Deficit Falls 7.6% In October To 16-month Low On Decline In Chinese Imports

The U.S. trade deficit fell in October largely because of lower imports from China, but the decline is unlikely to last.

The numbers: The nation’s trade deficit dropped almost 8% in October to a 16-month low, largely because of lower imports from China tied to the ongoing U.S. trade dispute with the Asian giant.

The deficit slid to $47.2 billion from a revised $51.1 billion in the prior month, the government said Thursday. If it persists through December, the smaller gap could give a boost to gross domestic product in the fourth quarter.

Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a $48.5 billion gap.

Read: ADP Says U.S. private-sector job growth slows sharply in November

What happened: Imports fell 1.7% to $254.3 billion.

The U.S. imported fewer drugs, cell phones, electronics, clothing and toys and other goods, much of it from China. Imports of Chinese goods shrank by $1.8 billion to $35.3 billion.

Auto imports also fell.

The decline in imports largely reflects a recent up-and-down pattern depending on the timing of new U.S. tariffs on China. Companies rushed to import consumer goods from China in August before scheduled U.S. tariffs went into effect.

Exports dipped a smaller 0.2% to $207.1 billion. Shipments of drugs, airplane engines and autos all decreased.

For the second month in a row the U.S. posted a record surplus in petroleum, showcasing the country’s reemergence as an energy superpower.

Still, the U.S. trade deficit added up to $520.1 billion in the first 10 months of this year, compared to $513 billion in the same span in 2018.

Although tariffs have caused a record trade deficit with China to tumble in 2019, the gap has grown with other countries and left the U.S. in no better position.

Read: U.S. manufacturing sector slumps further in November

Big picture: The U.S. is on track to record the biggest annual trade deficit in 11 years.

The deficit has grown in 2019 partly because the economy is doing better than in most other countries. Americans can afford to buy more imports. Weaker economic performance around the world has also led to softer demand for U.S. exports.

A bigger trade deficit subtracts from gross domestic product, but the U.S. has run large deficits for so long it’s had virtually no influence on how consumers and businesses behave.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.26% and S&P 500 SPX, -0.26% were set to open higher on Thursday. They rose on Wednesday for the first time in four days.

The 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, +1.65% rose several basis points to 1.79%. One year ago the yield was around 3.2%.

RECENT NEWS

Dollar Weakens As Hopes For Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Rise

The strength of the US dollar is showing signs of weakening as hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts rise in response to f... Read more

US Stock Market Pulls Back, Ending Multi-Day Rally Amid Inflation Jitters

The US stock market experienced a significant pullback today, ending a multi-day rally as investors grew increasingly ji... Read more

Investor Confidence Boosted As BT's CEO Allison Kirkby Challenges Short Sellers And Raises Dividend

BT Group’s shares have surged by 17% following a series of bold announcements by CEO Allison Kirkby. Kirkby’s assert... Read more

Market Optimism As S&P500 Briefly Peaks Amid Falling Inflation

The S&P500 index saw a brief all-time high as new data revealed a drop in America's annual inflation rate to 3.4% in... Read more

Sony's Strategic Share Buyback: Impact On Stock Performance

In a bold move signaling confidence in its financial stability and future growth prospects, Sony recently announced a si... Read more

The Hidden Costs Of Investing In BDCs

Business Development Companies (BDCs) are often lauded for their attractive yields, appealing to investors seeking subst... Read more