Ceasefire Resets Fed Outlook, Markets Set To Look Through FOMC Minutes And Hot CPI
The ceasefire between the US and Iran has reset the Fed outlook, shifting market focus away from near-term inflation d... Read more
Dollar Slides As Ceasefire Unwinds War Premium—Is EUR/USD Heading Back To 1.20?
Dollar’s sharp slide as oil price drops below $100 on the US-Iran ceasefire is raising a critical question for FX ma... Read more
Hormuz Deadline Looms As IMF Warns Oil Shock Drives All Roads To Stagflation
The global financial markets are treading water as the Hormuz reopening deadline looms, with U.S. Donald Trump warning... Read more
Oil Nears $120 Point Of No Return As Trump Deadline Looms And Hormuz “Toll Booth” Battle Decides Outcome
Oil is nearing a $120 breaking point as US President Donald Trump’s Iran deadline looms, with markets increasingly f... Read more
Markets Bet On Short War As Trumps “Power Plant Day” Looms, Oil 120+ Or 90 To Decide Outcome
Markets open the week in a surprisingly calm tone, but the stability masks a high-stakes setup ahead of US President D... Read more
Brent-WTI Spread Collapse Signals Shift From War Premium To Supply Breakdown
Risk aversion has returned to global markets following US President Donald Trump’s escalation signals on the Iran wa... Read more
After Trumps Iran War Address, Markets Price Pain—But Not Catastrophe Yet
Markets have flipped back into risk-off mode as oil rebounds above $110 following US President Donald Trump’s escala... Read more
Dollar Selloff Accelerates On Iran Endgame Hopes; Will Trumps Address Break The Risk-On Rally?
Global markets are extending a powerful risk-on rally as expectations build that the Iran war may be nearing its end. ... Read more
Gyrostat April Outlook: The Changing Cost Of Protection
Signals For Portfolio Construction This monthly Gyrostat Risk-Managed Market Outlook does not attemp... Read more
Dollar Falls, Stocks Jump As Iran War Finish Line Comes Into View
Markets opened Q2 with a powerful relief rally, as a clear shift in the Iran war narrative—from attrition to conclus... Read more
Markets Frozen As Trumps “Redefined Victory” On Iran War Creates More Questions Than Answers
Global markets are frozen as traders grapple with conflicting interpretations of U.S. President Donald Trump’s lates... Read more
Markets Shrug Trump Iran Exit Report As Oil Prices Hold Firm On Supply Risks
The global energy market has effectively shrugged off a Wall Street Journal report suggesting US President Donald Trum... Read more
Dollar Strengthens After Trump Threat To Kharg Island; Yen Gains On “Final Warning”
Dollar strengthened broadly as markets reacted to a sharp escalation in rhetoric from U.S. President Donald Trump, who... Read more
Dollar In “Spring-Load” Consolidation As Pakistan Talks Clash With Escalation Risks
Dollar has entered tactical consolidation as markets weigh a high-stakes diplomatic effort in Pakistan against the esc... Read more
70s-Style Stagflation Returns: Dollar As “Wrecking Ball,” Gold No Longer “King”
The return of “1970s-style stagflation” is no longer a distant tail risk—it is fast becoming the central theme d... Read more