Oil Updates — Crude Slips Amid Macroeconomic Concerns Despite Firm Demand Expectations

LONDON: Oil prices slipped on Thursday after a surge in the previous session on a larger-than-expected draw in US gasoline stocks, as markets weighed macroeconomic concerns against firm near-term demand.

Brent futures fell 5 cents to $70.9 a barrel by 7:26 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures shed 10 cents to $67.58 a barrel.

Both benchmarks rallied about 2 percent on Wednesday as US government data showed tighter-than-expected oil and fuel inventories.

US gasoline inventories fell by 5.7 million barrels, more than the 1.9 million-barrel draw expected by analysts, while distillate stocks also dropped more than anticipated — despite gains in crude stocks.

“Declining US gasoline inventories raised expectations for a seasonal demand increase in spring, but concerns about the global economic impact of tariff wars weighed on the market,” said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, chief strategist of Nissan Securities Investment.

“With strong and weak factors progressing simultaneously, it has become difficult for the market to lean decisively in one direction or the other,” he added.

Donald Trump threatened on Wednesday to escalate a global trade war with further tariffs on EU goods, as major US trading partners said they would retaliate for trade barriers already erected by the US president.

Trump’s hyper-focus on tariffs has rattled investors, consumers and business confidence and raised US recession fears.

Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said on Wednesday that Kazakhstan led a sizeable jump in February crude output by the wider OPEC+, highlighting a challenge for the producer group in enforcing adherence to agreed output targets.

Worries about fumbling jet fuel demand weighed further on markets, JP Morgan analysts said, adding that US Transportation Security Administration data showed passenger volumes for March have decreased by 5 percent year-over-year, following stagnant traffic in February.

However, firm demand expectations limited overall market weakness.

Signs of robust US demand and Ukraine’s deployment of 377 drones targeting Russian energy infrastructure and military installations supported prices, said JP Morgan analysts in a client note.

“As of March 11, global oil demand averaged 102.2 million barrels per day, expanding 1.7 million barrels per day year-over-year and exceeding our projected increase for the month by 60,000 barrels per day,” they added.