Key Words: Heres Why Morgan Stanleys Mike Wilson Is Actually Rooting For A Recession

That’s not comedian and HBO talk-show host Bill Maher, though he said the same thing. No, those words came from Morgan Stanley’s prominent analyst Mike Wilson during an interview Wednesday on CNBC.

But where Maher wants a recession in hopes that it will lead to President Trump getting voted out of office, Wilson has his own reason.

“I’m rooting for a recession in some ways because that’s what would get the flush in terms of expectations that still has to happen,” explained Wilson, one of Wall Street’s most bearish strategists. “Then we can have a cyclical recovery.”

He said that if he saw companies start to fire people, he would get more bullish on the market because that would protect profit margins. “That’s the thing I’m looking for,” Wilson told CNBC, adding that he doesn’t see the S&P 500 breaking out of its current trading range soon.

“It’s the same set up we had this summer,” he said. “Earnings season’s going to be mixed... The risk reward is still not great.”

Watch the full interview.

At last check, the S&P 500 SPX, +0.28% was up ever-so slightly as were the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.17% and Nasdaq Composite COMP, +0.19% in mostly muted trading action Wednesday afternoon.

RECENT NEWS

Gyrostat January Outlook: Calm At Multiyear Extremes

This monthly Gyrostat Risk-Managed Market Outlook does not attempt to forecast market direction. Its p... Read more

Gyrostat December Outlook: The Market Does The Work

Harnessing Natural Volatility for Consistent Returns   Markets have always moved more th... Read more

Gyrostat Capital Management: Why Advisers Must Scenario-Plan Both The Bubble And The Bust

The Blind Spot: Why Advisers Must Scenario-Plan Both The Bubble and The Bust In financial m... Read more

Gyrostat Capital Management: The Hidden Architecture Of Consequences

When Structures Themselves Become A Risk In portfolio construction, risk is rarely where we look for it.... Read more

Gyrostat November Outlook: The Rising Cost Of Doing Nothing

Through the second half of 2025, markets have delivered a curious mix of surface tranquillity and instabi... Read more

Gyrostat Capital Management: Blending Managers - From Style Diversification To Scenario Diversification

The Limits of Traditional Diversification For decades, portfolio construction has ... Read more