Economic Report: U.S. Trade Deficit Falls 7.6% In October To 16-month Low On Decline In Chinese Imports

The U.S. trade deficit fell in October largely because of lower imports from China, but the decline is unlikely to last.

The numbers: The nation’s trade deficit dropped almost 8% in October to a 16-month low, largely because of lower imports from China tied to the ongoing U.S. trade dispute with the Asian giant.

The deficit slid to $47.2 billion from a revised $51.1 billion in the prior month, the government said Thursday. If it persists through December, the smaller gap could give a boost to gross domestic product in the fourth quarter.

Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a $48.5 billion gap.

Read: ADP Says U.S. private-sector job growth slows sharply in November

What happened: Imports fell 1.7% to $254.3 billion.

The U.S. imported fewer drugs, cell phones, electronics, clothing and toys and other goods, much of it from China. Imports of Chinese goods shrank by $1.8 billion to $35.3 billion.

Auto imports also fell.

The decline in imports largely reflects a recent up-and-down pattern depending on the timing of new U.S. tariffs on China. Companies rushed to import consumer goods from China in August before scheduled U.S. tariffs went into effect.

Exports dipped a smaller 0.2% to $207.1 billion. Shipments of drugs, airplane engines and autos all decreased.

For the second month in a row the U.S. posted a record surplus in petroleum, showcasing the country’s reemergence as an energy superpower.

Still, the U.S. trade deficit added up to $520.1 billion in the first 10 months of this year, compared to $513 billion in the same span in 2018.

Although tariffs have caused a record trade deficit with China to tumble in 2019, the gap has grown with other countries and left the U.S. in no better position.

Read: U.S. manufacturing sector slumps further in November

Big picture: The U.S. is on track to record the biggest annual trade deficit in 11 years.

The deficit has grown in 2019 partly because the economy is doing better than in most other countries. Americans can afford to buy more imports. Weaker economic performance around the world has also led to softer demand for U.S. exports.

A bigger trade deficit subtracts from gross domestic product, but the U.S. has run large deficits for so long it’s had virtually no influence on how consumers and businesses behave.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.26% and S&P 500 SPX, -0.26% were set to open higher on Thursday. They rose on Wednesday for the first time in four days.

The 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, +1.65% rose several basis points to 1.79%. One year ago the yield was around 3.2%.

RECENT NEWS

Federal Reserve's Rate Decision: Navigating Economic Uncertainty

The recent decision by the Federal Reserve to adjust interest rates has sparked significant interest and speculation amo... Read more

Building Bridges: Strengthening Investor Confidence Through Enhanced Risk Data In Emerging Markets

In the dynamic landscape of emerging markets, investor confidence plays a pivotal role in driving economic growth and pr... Read more

Reading The Tea Leaves: Analyzing Market Responses To Speculation Of A Fed Interest Rate Increase

As speculation mounts regarding a potential interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve, investors are closely monit... Read more

Tesla's Stock Dilemma: Navigating Through Intensified Global Competition

Tesla, Inc., a bellwether in the electric vehicle (EV) industry, recently announced an ambitious plan to launch more aff... Read more

Evaluating Ukrenergos Standalone Debt Restructuring Versus National Efforts In Ukraine

As Ukraine navigates the complexities of post-war recovery, the debate surrounding the debt restructuring of its state g... Read more

Navigating The Shifting Sands: The Neutral Rate Of Interest In A Rapidly Evolving Economy

In the labyrinth of monetary policy tools, the neutral rate of interest stands out for its pivotal role in stabilizing e... Read more