Japan Exits Recession As GDP Grows 5.0% In Q3

Japan's economy exited recession in the third quarter, growing a better-than-expected 5.0 percent, government data showed Monday, following a record contraction.

A rise in domestic demand as well as exports helped drive the quarter-on-quarter growth, after the coronavirus pandemic and a consumption tax hike slammed the economy into reverse earlier in the year.

The positive figures come after three quarters of contraction in the world's third-largest economy, with revised data showing the economy shrank 8.2 percent in Q2, more than the previously estimated 7.9 percent.

That was the worst figure for Japan since comparable data became available in 1980, exceeding even the brutal impact of the 2008 global financial crisis.

The Q3 growth will be welcome news for Japan's government, which has avoided the tough lockdown measures seen in some other countries as it tries to balance preventing the spread of coronavirus with protecting the economy.

The results also beat economist expectations of 4.4 percent growth, and analysts said the recovery was likely to continue into the final quarter of the year.

"Between July and September, economic activity in Japan experienced a return to a somewhat normal status as the government lifted the state of emergency in the country," said Naoya Oshikubo, senior economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust.

"Looking ahead, we believe that GDP figures in the next quarter should continue to show signs of recovery, albeit at a slower pace," Oshikubo said in a note before the official release of the data.

"Pent-up demand should decelerate, mainly due to second waves of COVID-19 overseas," he added.

Japan's economy exited recession in the third quarter, growing a better-than-expected 5.0 percent, government data showed Monday, following a record contraction.

A rise in domestic demand as well as exports helped drive the quarter-on-quarter growth, after the coronavirus pandemic and a consumption tax hike slammed the economy into reverse earlier in the year.

The positive figures come after three quarters of contraction in the world's third-largest economy, with revised data showing the economy shrank 8.2 percent in Q2, more than the previously estimated 7.9 percent.

That was the worst figure for Japan since comparable data became available in 1980, exceeding even the brutal impact of the 2008 global financial crisis.

The Q3 growth will be welcome news for Japan's government, which has avoided the tough lockdown measures seen in some other countries as it tries to balance preventing the spread of coronavirus with protecting the economy.

The results also beat economist expectations of 4.4 percent growth, and analysts said the recovery was likely to continue into the final quarter of the year.

"Between July and September, economic activity in Japan experienced a return to a somewhat normal status as the government lifted the state of emergency in the country," said Naoya Oshikubo, senior economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust.

"Looking ahead, we believe that GDP figures in the next quarter should continue to show signs of recovery, albeit at a slower pace," Oshikubo said in a note before the official release of the data.

"Pent-up demand should decelerate, mainly due to second waves of COVID-19 overseas," he added.

RECENT NEWS

From Cypherpunk To Citadel

How Crypto Moved from the Wild West to the Mainstream Financial SystemA long-form analysis of Bitcoin's journey from fri... Read more

Gyrostat May Market Outlook: When The Cost Of Protection Falls - Signals For Portfolio Positioning

This monthly Gyrostat Risk-Managed Market Outlook does not attempt to forecast market direction. It... Read more

War Risk Returns To Markets As VIX Surges

For most of the past year, global markets behaved as though geopolitical risk had largely disappeared. Inflation was eas... Read more

Brevan Howards Crypto Fund 30 Per Cent Slide

Brevan Howard’s flagship crypto strategy suffered its worst year since launch in 2025, underscoring how exposed even t... Read more

Gyrostat February Outlook: Stewardship As Risk Reprices

This monthly outlook examines how financial markets are pricing risk, rather than attempting to forecast ... Read more

Blackrock Sees EMEA Moving Into Private Assets

BlackRock has warned that investors across Europe, the Middle East and Africa are reshaping portfolios in response to wh... Read more