Wormhole Rebounds On Ripple Deal, But Can The Rally Bridge Its Risky Gaps?

Wormhole, a leading cross-chain communication protocol, is showing strong signs of recovery, surging 45% from its yearly low after a partnership with Ripple Labs boosted investor confidence. With user activity, total value locked, and open interest all climbing, momentum is on Wormhole’s side—but weakening bridge volume and a bearish shift in funding rates pose looming threats to the rally’s staying power.

Wormhole (W) rose to $0.076 on Saturday, its highest level since June 11. The token price jumped after the company inked a partnership with Ripple Labs. This integration will enable multi-chain interoperability with XRP Ledger and XRPL EVM Sidechain. 

The partnership will enable cross-chain messaging, asset transfers, and multi-chain token issuances. This, in turn, will make XRP Ledger a major player in the decentralized finance and real-world asset tokenization industries. 

The Wormhole token has also increased in value as the number of transacting users rose this month. Its users rose to 47,600 this month, up from last month’s low of 38,000. It has jumped to its highest point since April. 

The total value locked on Wormhole has also jumped to $2.8 billion, up from $2.5 billion in March. 

The Wormhole price has also jumped as open interest rose to $30 million, its highest level since March 24. A rising open interest is a sign of demand from investors in the futures market. 

However, the ongoing surge faces two key risks. First, its weighted funding rate has turned red in the past two days, a sign that investors anticipate the future price to be lower than the current one.

The other risk is that the bridge volume has plunged in the past few months. Its volume dropped to $426 million this month, down from $2.48 billion in December.

The daily chart indicates that the W token bottomed at $0.051 on June 23 and subsequently rebounded to $0.074. It has formed a double-bottom pattern with a neckline at $0.01180, its highest point on May 14. A double bottom is one of the most bullish patterns in technical analysis.

Wormhole is attempting to move above the 50-day moving average, while the Relative Strength Index has crossed the neutral point of 50. The two lines of the MACD have made a bullish crossover. 

Therefore, the price may continue to rise, with the next target being the double bottom’s neckline at $0.1180. A drop below the year-to-date low of $0.0511 will invalidate the bullish view.